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Finance

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Articles relating to financial matters.

Financial Market Bulletin Jan 16th 2012

This week’s Bulletin which contains the following points:

Positive economic data from the US gave a boost to markets last week, encouraging hopes that the world's largest economy was still on track to grow at around 2.5% this year.
In Europe, successful government bond sales by Spain and Italy also went down well with investors with both auctions oversubscribed, enabling yields to fall back and soothing investors’ concerns.
However on Friday, rumours of a possible downgrade by agency Standard & Poor's for France and Austria,  took some of the shine off share prices as markets reacted to the news. S&P confirmed the downgrades only after the close of markets. Notwithstanding the response today by the markets has been muted, implying that the 'news' has already been discounted.
Greece also took centre stage on Friday as talks with its international creditors, who have been taking a tougher line, broke down; although Athens said that it was confident a solution would ultimately be worked out.
The downgrades for France et al mean that the firepower of the eurozone's bail-out fund - the EFSF - might be diluted as it calls into question the ability of contributing members to underwrite the guarantees given by the fund.
Overall reaction from the European financial markets has been muted even though Asian markets fell around 1% after playing 'catch-up' from Friday, giving further grounds for believing that investors were expecting the downgrades and that Greece will do a deal with its creditors.
The case for the eurozone surviving is reflected on by THS Partners who believe the region will ultimately become one of the world's great growth opportunities.
As the Bank of England once more holds interest rates at 0.5% savers are given no respite and we look at why investors should continue to look at the case for equity income investing as part of the solution.
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( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

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Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444 

 

Financial Market Bulletin Jan 9th 2012

This week’s Bulletin which contains the following points:

The New Year continued on the front foot as fresh signs that the US economy was gaining traction outweighed lingering concerns about Europe’s debt problems.

The level of unemployment in the US Is now at its lowest since February 2009 and will provide a lift for President Obama, who has faced a stubbornly high level of unemployment since taking office.

The immediate focus for investors in Europe seems to be on France and its continued quest to keep hold of its AAA rating. Markets will also be keeping a close eye on the Italian and Spanish bond auctions on Thursday, particularly after France’s efforts last week.

It is extremely difficult to make predictions for the short term, even over the course of 12 months, and to illustrate this, we take a look at predictions for 2012 as well as look back to analyst forecast for 2011.
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( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

______________________________________________________________________________

Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444 

 

Financial Market Bulletin Jan 3rd 2012


Tthis week’s Financial Bulletin contains the following points:

2011 is probably a year most investors wish to forget; one which witnessed high volatility amidst the eurozone sovereign debt crisis and left global markets suffering from crisis fatigue.

However not all asset classes suffered - high quality government bonds did very well and not all equity markets fell. The Dow Jones index of super blue-chip US companies actually ended the year higher. Anyone investing in a balanced portfolio with an income bias would have most likely been surprised on the upside

With the eurozone crisis unresolved there will, almost without doubt, be continued uncertainty this year and we mull over some of the most likely questions investors may be concerned about. Despite continued uncertainty, for those investors taking a pragmatic approach there are positive solutions in the form of diverse portfolios which can offer investors some degree of confidence in the year ahead.

To start the New Year, a number of our managers give their views on the outlook for equity markets.

( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

______________________________________________________________________________

Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444 

 

Financial Market Bulletin Dec 19th 2011


Tthis week’s Financial Bulletin contains the following points:

Disappointment over the failure of the US Federal Reserve to announce a further programme of quantitative easing overshadowed better than expected US unemployment data, the number of Americans claiming benefit fell to the lowest level since 2008. There was good news on the inflation front for the UK where the consumer price index fell for the second consecutive month to 4.8%. Overall, global equity markets gave ground on the week as investors once more opted for safer havens such as the US dollar and Treasury bonds.


Worries over the eurozone resurfaced once more as markets looked for more details - not forthcoming - from EU leaders on their latest 'grand bargain' to sort out the sovereign debt crisis. Tensions were raised when rating agency Standard & Poor's warned that 15 of the region's 17 members might suffer a downrating in coming months, including France which caused a backlash as President Sarkozy questioned why the UK, with a worse fiscal deficit, was not in the firing line.


One aspect that has upset the markets is the failure of the ECB to use its firepower by buying up sovereign bonds - however the Bank has made available unlimited cheap money for banks to borrow giving rise to a new 'carry trade' whereby banks borrow at 1% and buy, for example, Italian bonds yielding over 6%. Whilst not a solution to the crisis it might buy more time for EU leaders to resolve the crisis long term.


China's property market is in the spotlight following signs that its speculative bubble might be bursting with prices falling last month. Beijing has been under pressure to lower prices because most Chinese have no chance of buying a home at current inflated prices. The concern is though that the property sector accounts for 13% of GDP and is therefore pivotal not just to China's growth but global growth too.


Lastly, looking ahead, we discuss ways investors can create more certain investment outcomes by ensuring they diversify their assets in a structured way to reduce risk and volatility.


Please note the next Bulletin will be 3 January 2012.

 

( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

______________________________________________________________________________

Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444 

 

Financial Market Bulletin Dec 12th 2011


Tthis week’s Financial Bulletin contains the following points:

Despite a volatile week, stocks closed the week on a positive note amid hope that Europe's efforts would work.

Attention continues to be on the eurozone summit in Brussels, intended to provide a solution to the crisis in bank funding.

Who wants what from the summit though? Many major nations have their own agendas, including the UK.

Neil Woodford provides his thoughts on the current economic conditions, and provides an insight into why he believes that there are still opportunities in blue-chip companies.

( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

______________________________________________________________________________

Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444

 

 

 

Financial Market Bulletin Dec 5th 2011

Global equity markets enjoyed one of their best weekly rallies in over two years last week with most major indices up around 7%. The gains followed two weeks of losses and came after a group of the world’s Central Banks announced a concerted package of help to increase liquidity for European banks.


Up until Wednesday, the cost of borrowing dollars to fund liabilities had become excessively onerous for European financial institutions and increasingly they were relying on the European Central Bank as a source of borrowing. To counteract this freezing of liquidity the US Federal Reserve announced it was cutting the rate at which it lent dollars to the ECB by 0.5% which would mean the Bank could then lend at lower rates to European banks.


At the same time China announced that it had reduced the level of reserves banks needed to keep available – partly down to a belief that Beijing had finally controlled inflation and partly down to concerns about slowing global growth.


In the eurozone, finance ministers agreed to guarantee up to 30% of the value of new bonds issued by problem members thus effectively boosting the available size of the eurozone bail-out fund. Along side this the market sensed that finally a workable plan was evolving to address the eurozone crisis and most likely include German wishes for closer fiscal unity for the 17 eurozone members. Angela Merkel made clear her determination to keep the euro and introduce Treaty changes to bring about greater fiscal rectitude.


Whilst eurozone policymakers may have been in turmoil, European companies have been quietly going about their business, boosting their balance sheets and growing their order books – SW Mitchell explain what is happening down on the ground in corporate Europe.


We explain how investors can implement a successful strategy to combat volatile markets.

( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

______________________________________________________________________________

Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444

 

 

 

Financial Market Bulletin Nov 28th 2011

Ahead of the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement tomorrow, we have included the first in a series of articles written for us by Dr Andrew Sentance, Senior Economic Adviser at PricewaterhouseCoopers and former member of the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee. Dr Sentence discusses some of the possible steps policymakers might take to put Britain’s economy back on the road to growth.
Financial markets were once more embroiled in the eurozone debt crisis which took a new turn following a disappointing bond auction in Germany, which until now has been seen as one of the last refuges of safety by investors.
Yields on Italian and Spanish bonds resumed their upward trend back towards the key 7% level at which some form of bail-out has usually followed. Against this backdrop, equity markets fell back across the board as investors once more waited for policymakers to take decisive action.
With the eurozone and UK economies slowing markedly, all eyes will be on Chancellor George Osborne tomorrow when he uses his Autumn Statement to announce new growth initiatives for the UK economy.

( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

______________________________________________________________________________

Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444

 

 

 

Financial Market Bulletin Sept 5th 2011

Market Eye....

Against a backdrop of worse-than-expected (or wished for) economic data, global markets maintained their
stride for most of the week, recovering some of the losses seen last month. True, markets wobbled on Friday
but, overall, most major indices advanced. Whilst not completely unexpected given the drip, drip of weaker
economic data flowing from the developed Western economies in recent weeks, hopes for the global
recovery received a setback following the release of a welter of purchasing managers’ surveys (the PMI) for
August. Across Asia, Europe and the US, the surveys produced the lowest reading of manufacturing activity
and orders since mid-2009. Any figure below 50 indicates contraction so it was a relief to the markets that
J.P. Morgan’s global PMI came in at 50.1, albeit falling from 50.7 in July. The caveat though is that PMIs are
far from perfect indicators of the health of the manufacturing sector but, even so, the numbers did disappoint analysts and economists alike.
Friday’s setback in sentiment was caused by poor US data which showed zero growth in non-farm payrolls
and an increase in private sector jobs of just 17,000 – this being offset by a loss of 17,000 government jobs.
This left the US unemployment rate unchanged at 9.1% – uncomfortably high with an election due next year
and thus increasing the pressure on President Obama to come up with a plausible recovery plan when he gives his keynote speech to Congress this coming Thursday. The markets are expecting him to announce new initiatives on infrastructure, reviving the moribund housing markets and extending tax breaks for employers.
However, with Republicans in no mood to see an increase in the budget deficit, it will be interesting to see
what room for manoeuvre the president has. Likewise, there is further pressure on the US Federal Reserve to announce the launch of a much-vaunted QE3
(the third round of ‘quantitative easing’, or printing money) policy when the committee meets later this
month. Investment bank J.P. Morgan Chase believes the likelihood is ‘better than even’ that the Fed will soon
roll out a fresh programme of asset purchase or QE3. However, rather than expanding its balance sheet
through fresh asset purchase as it has done previously, the markets are expecting a ‘twist’ operation where it
sells short-dated securities and buys longer-maturity assets, thus keeping borrowing costs ultra-low. Analysts
also think the Fed’s chairman, Ben Bernanke, may lower the interest on the excess reserve rate (the amount
the Fed pays on money deposited with it by banks) and also further enhance its forward guidance by being
more explicit.


Rude Health
Without wishing to underplay the problems in the developed economies, are there any grounds for optimism?
Whilst many Western governments are weighed down by too much debt, the corporate world – along with
many governments in the developing economies – has spent the last two years bolstering its balance sheet.
Firstly, unlike Western governments, companies have de-levered in the recession by cutting costs, unwinding
or selling off assets and have issued equity to retire debt. This has left many companies awash with cash and is probably one of the main reasons why merger and takeover activity has been increasing. Lastly, also unlike
governments, many high quality companies have not been affected by political uncertainties. This explains
why, amongst .........................

( The complete text of this weeks Financial Bulletin can be downloaded as a 'pdf' file here. )

______________________________________________________________________________

Extract from this weeks Financial Marketing Bulletin, issued by RBA Wealth Management Ltd.

To see the full Financial Briefing Note and to sign up to receive them automatically each week

visit their web site : www.rbawealthmanagement.com or call  01889 568444

 

 

 
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